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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w26206 |
来源ID | Working Paper 26206 |
Strict Voter Identification Laws, Turnout, and Election Outcomes | |
Mark Hoekstra; Vijetha Koppa | |
发表日期 | 2019-09-02 |
出版年 | 2019 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Since 2000, ten states have enacted strict voter identification laws, which require that voters show identification in order for their votes to count. While proponents argue these laws prevent voter fraud and protect the integrity of elections, opponents argue they disenfranchise low-income and minority voters. In this paper, we document the extent to which these laws can affect voter turnout and election outcomes. We do so using historical data on more than 2,000 races in Florida and Michigan, which both allow and track ballots cast without identification. Results indicate that at most only 0.10% and 0.31% of total votes cast in each state were cast without IDs. Thus, even under the extreme assumption that all voters without IDs were either fraudulent or would be disenfranchised by a strict law, the enactment of such a law would have only a very small effect on turnout. Similarly, we also show under a range of conservative assumptions that very few election results could have been flipped due to a strict law. Collectively, our findings indicate that even if the worst fears of proponents or critics were true, strict identification laws are unlikely to have a meaningful impact on turnout or election outcomes. |
主题 | Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Other ; Law and Economics |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w26206 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583877 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mark Hoekstra,Vijetha Koppa. Strict Voter Identification Laws, Turnout, and Election Outcomes. 2019. |
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w26206.pdf(466KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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