| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w26253 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 26253 |
| From Transactions Data to Economic Statistics: Constructing Real-time, High-frequency, Geographic Measures of Consumer Spending | |
| Aditya Aladangady; Shifrah Aron-Dine; Wendy Dunn; Laura Feiveson; Paul Lengermann; Claudia Sahm | |
| 发表日期 | 2019-09-16 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Access to timely information on consumer spending is important to economic policymakers. The Census Bureau’s monthly retail trade survey is a primary source for monitoring consumer spending nationally, but it is not well suited to study localized or short-lived economic shocks. Moreover, lags in the publication of the Census estimates and subsequent, sometimes large, revisions diminish its usefulness for real-time analysis. Expanding the Census survey to include higher frequencies and subnational detail would be costly and would add substantially to respondent burden. We take an alternative approach to fill these information gaps. Using anonymized transactions data from a large electronic payments technology company, we create daily estimates of retail spending at detailed geographies. Our daily estimates are available only a few days after the transactions occur, and the historical time series are available from 2010 to the present. When aggregated to the national level, the pattern of monthly growth rates is similar to the official Census statistics. We discuss two applications of these new data for economic analysis: First, we describe how our monthly spending estimates are useful for real-time monitoring of aggregate spending, especially during the government shutdown in 2019, when Census data were delayed and concerns about the economy spiked. Second, we show how the geographic detail allowed us quantify in real time the spending effects of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma in 2017. |
| 主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w26253 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583926 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Aditya Aladangady,Shifrah Aron-Dine,Wendy Dunn,et al. From Transactions Data to Economic Statistics: Constructing Real-time, High-frequency, Geographic Measures of Consumer Spending. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w26253.pdf（1467KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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