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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26262
来源IDWorking Paper 26262
Riders on the Storm
Òscar Jordà; Alan M. Taylor
发表日期2019-09-16
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要Interest rates in major advanced economies have drifted down and in greater unison over the past few decades. A country’s rate of interest can be thought of as reflecting movements in the global neutral rate of interest, the domestic neutral rate, and the stance of monetary policy. Only the latter is controlled by the central bank. Estimates from a state space New Keynesian model show that central bank policy explains less than half of the variation in interest rates. The rest of the time, the central bank is catching up to trends dictated by productivity growth, demography, and other factors outside of its control.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance ; History ; Macroeconomic History
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26262
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/583935
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Òscar Jordà,Alan M. Taylor. Riders on the Storm. 2019.
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