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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26433
来源IDWorking Paper 26433
Partisanship and Survey Refusal
Mark Borgschulte; Heepyung Cho; Darren Lubotsky
发表日期2019-11-11
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要Survey refusal in the Current Population Survey (CPS) has tripled over the last decade. This rise coincides with the emergence of rhetoric, largely from the political right, questioning the accuracy and integrity of government statistics. We examine how support for the Tea Party and the Republican party have affected CPS refusal rates and whether households are more likely to participate in the survey when their preferred political party holds the White House. Using state and metro vote shares or an individual-level model based on the longitudinal structure of the CPS, we find no evidence that Republican or Tea Party supporters drive the long-term upward trend in refusals. We do find evidence of a political cycle in response rates. Refusal rates since 2015 exhibit polarization, with the fastest growth in refusals among those least likely to support Trump and the Tea Party. Evidence from an analysis which generates exogenous variation in Tea Party support using rain on the day of the first Tea Party rally indicates that exposure to anti-survey rhetoric decreases refusal rates, consistent with the findings from our other analyses.
主题Econometrics ; Data Collection ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Poverty and Wellbeing ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration ; Other ; Economic Systems
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26433
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584105
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GB/T 7714
Mark Borgschulte,Heepyung Cho,Darren Lubotsky. Partisanship and Survey Refusal. 2019.
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