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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26503
来源IDWorking Paper 26503
Demographic Obstacles to European Growth
Thomas F. Cooley; Espen Henriksen; Charlie Nusbaum
发表日期2019-12-02
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要Since the early 1990’s the growth rates of the four largest European economies—France, Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom—have slowed. This persistent slowdown suggests a low-frequency structural change is at work. A combination of longer individual life expectancies and declining fertility have led to gradually ageing populations. Demographic change affects economic growth directly through households savings and labor supply decisions and also growth indirectly through the pension systems and the need to fund them. Tax increases to balance budgets will impose additional distortions to individual factor-supply choices. We quantify the growth effects from aging and from the financing of public pensions, and we estimate the welfare gains from pension reforms.
主题Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity ; Country Studies
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26503
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584176
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GB/T 7714
Thomas F. Cooley,Espen Henriksen,Charlie Nusbaum. Demographic Obstacles to European Growth. 2019.
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