| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w26510 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 26510 |
| Hot Shots: An Analysis of the \u2018Hot Hand\u2019 in NBA Field Goal and Free Throw Shooting | |
| Robert M. Lantis; Erik T. Nesson | |
| 发表日期 | 2019-12-02 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We investigate the hot hand hypothesis using detailed data on free throws and field goal attempts for the 2004-2005 through 2015-2016 NBA regular seasons. Free throws represent a more controlled setting, allowing a closer examination of the potential physiological mechanisms behind success in repeated motions, while field goal attempts represent the setting most observers have in mind when commenting on a player’s repeated shooting success. We examine these two settings together, within the same players in the same games, permitting a more comprehensive analysis of the hot hand. We find a small hot hand effect for free throws, which more than doubles for longer streaks of consecutively made free throws. However, if a player makes a field goal, he is no more or less likely to make his next field goal attempt, and longer streaks of consecutively made field goals reduce the probability that a player makes his next field goal attempt. These results are robust to a large number of controls, including controlling for the characteristics of the previous shots. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Behavioral Economics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w26510 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584182 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Robert M. Lantis,Erik T. Nesson. Hot Shots: An Analysis of the \u2018Hot Hand\u2019 in NBA Field Goal and Free Throw Shooting. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w26510.pdf（623KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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