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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26514
来源IDWorking Paper 26514
Valuing Private Equity Strip by Strip
Arpit Gupta; Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
发表日期2019-12-02
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要We propose a new valuation method for private equity investments. First, we construct a cash-flow replicating portfolio for the private investment, applying Machine Learning techniques on cash-flows on various listed equity and fixed income instruments. The second step values the replicating portfolio using a flexible asset pricing model that accurately prices the systematic risk in bonds of different maturities and a broad cross-section of equity factors. The method delivers a measure of the risk-adjusted profit earned on a PE investment and a time series for the expected return on PE fund categories. We apply the method to buyout, venture capital, real estate, and infrastructure funds, among others. Accounting for horizon-dependent risk and exposure to a broad cross-section of equity factors results in negative average risk-adjusted profits. Substantial cross-sectional variation and persistence in performance suggests some funds outperform. We also find declining expected returns on PE funds in the later part of the sample.
主题Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Institutions ; Corporate Finance ; Regional and Urban Economics ; Real Estate
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26514
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584186
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GB/T 7714
Arpit Gupta,Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh. Valuing Private Equity Strip by Strip. 2019.
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