| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w26598 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 26598 |
| The Private and External Costs of Germany's Nuclear Phase-Out | |
| Stephen Jarvis; Olivier Deschenes; Akshaya Jha | |
| 发表日期 | 2019-12-30 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Many countries have phased out nuclear electricity production in response to concerns about nuclear waste and the risk of nuclear accidents. This paper examines the impact of the shutdown of roughly half of the nuclear production capacity in Germany after the Fukushima accident in 2011. We use hourly data on power plant operations and a novel machine learning framework to estimate how plants would have operated differently if the phase-out had not occurred. We find that the lost nuclear electricity production due to the phase-out was replaced primarily by coal-fired production and net electricity imports. The social cost of this shift from nuclear to coal is approximately 12 billion dollars per year. Over 70% of this cost comes from the increased mortality risk associated with exposure to the local air pollution emitted when burning fossil fuels. Even the largest estimates of the reduction in the costs associated with nuclear accident risk and waste disposal due to the phase-out are far smaller than 12 billion dollars. |
| 主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy ; Environment |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w26598 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584272 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Stephen Jarvis,Olivier Deschenes,Akshaya Jha. The Private and External Costs of Germany's Nuclear Phase-Out. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w26598.pdf（891KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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