| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w26611 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 26611 |
| Rising Import Tariffs, Falling Export Growth: When Modern Supply Chains Meet Old-Style Protectionism | |
| Kyle Handley; Fariha Kamal; Ryan Monarch | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-01-06 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We examine the impacts of the 2018-2019 U.S. import tariff increases on U.S. export growth through the lens of supply chain linkages. Using 2016 confidential firm-trade linked data, we identify firms that eventually faced tariff increases. They accounted for 84% of all exports and represented 65% of manufacturing employment. For the average affected firm, the implied cost is $900 per worker in new duties. We construct product-level measures of exporters' exposure to import tariff increases and estimate the impact on U.S. export growth. The most exposed products had relatively lower export growth in 2018-2019, with larger effects in 2019. The decline in export growth in 2019Q3, for example, is equivalent to an ad valorem tariff on U.S. exports of 2% for the typical product and up to 4% for products with higher than average exposure. |
| 主题 | International Economics ; Trade ; International Factor Mobility ; Public Economics ; Taxation |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w26611 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584284 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kyle Handley,Fariha Kamal,Ryan Monarch. Rising Import Tariffs, Falling Export Growth: When Modern Supply Chains Meet Old-Style Protectionism. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w26611.pdf（568KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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