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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w26651 |
来源ID | Working Paper 26651 |
The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population | |
Charles I. Jones | |
发表日期 | 2020-01-13 |
出版年 | 2020 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | In many models, economic growth is driven by people discovering new ideas. These models typically assume either a constant or a growing population. However, in high income countries today, fertility is already below its replacement rate: women are having fewer than two children on average. It is a distinct possibility — highlighted in the recent book, “Empty Planet” — that global population will decline rather than stabilize in the long run. What happens to economic growth when population growth turns negative? |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w26651 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584324 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Charles I. Jones. The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population. 2020. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w26651.pdf(431KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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