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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26651
来源IDWorking Paper 26651
The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population
Charles I. Jones
发表日期2020-01-13
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要In many models, economic growth is driven by people discovering new ideas. These models typically assume either a constant or a growing population. However, in high income countries today, fertility is already below its replacement rate: women are having fewer than two children on average. It is a distinct possibility — highlighted in the recent book, “Empty Planet” — that global population will decline rather than stabilize in the long run. What happens to economic growth when population growth turns negative?
主题Macroeconomics ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26651
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584324
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GB/T 7714
Charles I. Jones. The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population. 2020.
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