| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w26694 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 26694 |
| Changing Stability in U.S. Employment Relationships: A Tale of Two Tails | |
| Raven Molloy; Christopher Smith; Abigail K. Wozniak | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-01-27 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We confront two seemingly-contradictory observations about the US labor market: the rate at which workers change employers has declined since the 1980s, yet there is a commonly expressed view that long-term employment relationships are more difficult to attain. We reconcile these observations by examining how the distribution of employment tenure has changed in aggregate and for various demographic groups. We show that the fraction of workers with short tenure (less than a year) has been falling since the 1980s, consistent with the decline in job changing. Meanwhile, the fraction of workers with long tenure (20 years or more) has been rising modestly owing to an increase in long tenure for women and the ageing of the population. Long tenure has declined markedly among older men; this trend may have spurred popular perceptions that long-term employment is less common than in the past. The decline in long-tenure for men appears due to an increase in mid-career separations that reduce the likelihood of reaching long-tenure, rather than an increase in late-career separations. Nevertheless, survey evidence indicates that these changes in employment relationships are not associated with heightened concerns about job insecurity or decreases in job satisfaction as reported by workers. The decline in short-tenure is widespread, associated with fewer workers cycling among briefly-held jobs, and coincides with an increase in perceived job security among short tenure workers. |
| 主题 | Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Unemployment and Immigration |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w26694 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584367 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Raven Molloy,Christopher Smith,Abigail K. Wozniak. Changing Stability in U.S. Employment Relationships: A Tale of Two Tails. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w26694.pdf（487KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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