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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w26784 |
来源ID | Working Paper 26784 |
Can Low Retirement Savings Be Rationalized? | |
Jason S. Scott; John B. Shoven; Sita N. Slavov; John G. Watson | |
发表日期 | 2020-03-02 |
出版年 | 2020 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Simple presentations of the life cycle model often suggest a constant level of real consumption in retirement. Similarly, financial planners commonly suggest that people save for retirement in such a way as to enable them to maintain a level retirement standard of living equal to their standard of living while working. However, constant consumption with age is only optimal under the precise and unlikely condition that the subjective rate of time preference is equal to the real interest rate. Most people exhibit a positive rate of pure time preference and additionally discount the future by both mortality and morbidity risks. In comparison, the real interest rate is roughly zero percent and the term structure of interest rates suggests that this condition is likely to persist. These considerations suggest that optimal consumption in the life cycle model declines with age. This finding has major implications for optimal retirement saving. For instance, we find that for many, perhaps most, people in the bottom half of the lifetime earnings distribution, it is optimal to spend out their retirement wealth well before death and to live on Social Security alone after that. Very low earners may find it optimal to not engage in retirement saving at all. |
主题 | Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w26784 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584458 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jason S. Scott,John B. Shoven,Sita N. Slavov,et al. Can Low Retirement Savings Be Rationalized?. 2020. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w26784.pdf(540KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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