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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26790
来源IDWorking Paper 26790
How do U.S. Visa Policies Affect Unauthorized Immigration?
Brian K. Kovak; Rebecca Lessem
发表日期2020-03-02
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要We examine how increasing the number of visas available to potential migrants would affect unauthorized immigration from Mexico to the U.S. Current U.S. policy bans people who are deported from receiving legal status for a period of time. This policy aims to serve as an additional deterrent to unauthorized immigration, but may be ineffective given that most potential Mexican migrants have an extremely low probability of ever being able to legally move to the U.S. We develop a dynamic discrete location choice model, which we estimate using data from the Mexican Migration Project, and consider various counterfactual policies that vary the intensity of enforcement and access to work visas. We find that legal entry bans for deported individuals are ineffective at current rates of legal immigration, but that increased legalization rates would amplify the deterrent effects of deportation. We also show that a temporary work visa program would yield similar deterrent effects as an increase in permanent legalization without resulting in very large increases in the total stock of migrants residing in the U.S. These findings have important implications for structuring future immigration reforms.
主题International Economics ; International Factor Mobility ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26790
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584464
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Brian K. Kovak,Rebecca Lessem. How do U.S. Visa Policies Affect Unauthorized Immigration?. 2020.
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