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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w26804 |
来源ID | Working Paper 26804 |
The Electric Vehicle Transition and the Economics of Banning Gasoline Vehicles | |
Stephen P. Holland; Erin T. Mansur; Andrew J. Yates | |
发表日期 | 2020-03-02 |
出版年 | 2020 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Electric vehicles have a unique potential to transform personal transportation. We analyze the transition to electric vehicles with a dynamic model that captures the falling costs of producing electric vehicles, the decreasing pollution from electricity generation, the increasing substitutability of electric for gasoline vehicles, and the durability of the vehicle stock. Due to the external costs from pollution, inefficiencies under business as usual result from the mix of vehicles as well as the transition timing, the severity of which depends on substitutability. We calibrate the model to the US market and find the magnitude of the inefficiency is rather modest: less than 5 percent of total external costs. The optimal purchase subsidy for electric vehicles and the optimal ban on the production of gasoline vehicles both give about the same efficiency improvement, but the latter leads to a sharp increase in gasoline vehicle production just before the ban. Phasing out gasoline vehicles with a bankable production quota reduces deadweight loss substantially more than the other policies, but may lead to a very large deadweight loss if set incorrectly. |
主题 | Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; Public Economics ; Taxation ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy ; Environment |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w26804 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584476 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Stephen P. Holland,Erin T. Mansur,Andrew J. Yates. The Electric Vehicle Transition and the Economics of Banning Gasoline Vehicles. 2020. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w26804.pdf(785KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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