| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w26916 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 26916 |
| Expectations, reference points, and compliance with COVID-19 social distancing measures | |
| Guglielmo Briscese; Nicola Lacetera; Mario Macis; Mirco Tonin | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-03-30 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We surveyed representative samples of Italian residents at three critical points in the COVID-19 pandemic, to test whether and how intentions to comply with social-isolation restrictions respond to the duration of their possible extension. Individuals reported being more likely to reduce, and less likely to increase, their self-isolation effort if negatively surprised by a given hypothetical extension (i.e., if the extension is longer than what they expected), whereas positive surprises had no impact. These results are consistent with reference-dependent preferences, with individual expectations serving as a reference point, and loss aversion. Our findings indicate that public authorities should carefully manage expectations about policy measures and account for behavioral reactions to deviations from previous announcements. |
| 主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Microeconomics ; Behavioral Economics ; Public Economics ; Public Goods ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; COVID-19 |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w26916 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584589 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Guglielmo Briscese,Nicola Lacetera,Mario Macis,et al. Expectations, reference points, and compliance with COVID-19 social distancing measures. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w26916.pdf（621KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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