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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26940
来源IDWorking Paper 26940
Indebted Demand
Atif R. Mian; Ludwig Straub; Amir Sufi
发表日期2020-04-06
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要We propose a theory of indebted demand, capturing the idea that large debt burdens by households and governments lower aggregate demand, and thus natural interest rates. At the core of the theory is the simple yet under-appreciated observation that borrowers and savers differ in their marginal propensities to save out of permanent income. Embedding this insight in a two-agent overlapping-generations model, we find that recent trends in income inequality and financial liberalization lead to indebted household demand, pushing down natural interest rates. Moreover, popular expansionary policies—such as accommodative monetary policy and deficit spending—generate a debt-financed short-run boom at the expense of indebted demand in the future. When demand is sufficiently indebted, the economy gets stuck in a debt-driven liquidity trap, or debt trap. Escaping a debt trap requires consideration of less standard macroeconomic policies, such as those focused on redistribution or those reducing the structural sources of high inequality.
主题Microeconomics ; Market Structure and Distribution ; Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy ; Fiscal Policy ; Financial Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26940
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584613
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Atif R. Mian,Ludwig Straub,Amir Sufi. Indebted Demand. 2020.
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