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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w26973
来源IDWorking Paper 26973
Should Germany Have Built a New Wall? Macroeconomic Lessons from the 2015-18 Refugee Wave
Christopher Busch; Dirk Krueger; Alexander Ludwig; Irina Popova; Zainab Iftikhar
发表日期2020-04-13
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要In 2015-2016 Germany experienced a wave of predominantly low-skilled refugee immigration. We evaluate its macroeconomic and distributional effects using a quantitative overlapping generations model calibrated using German micro data to replicate education and productivity differentials between foreign born and native workers. Workers are modelled as imperfect substitutes in aggregate production leading to endogenous wage differentials. We simulate the dynamic effects of this refugee wave, with specific focus on the welfare impact on low skilled natives. Our results indicate that the small losses this group suffers can be compensated by welfare gains of other parts of the native population.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; International Economics ; International Factor Mobility ; Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w26973
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584645
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Christopher Busch,Dirk Krueger,Alexander Ludwig,et al. Should Germany Have Built a New Wall? Macroeconomic Lessons from the 2015-18 Refugee Wave. 2020.
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