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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w27003
来源IDWorking Paper 27003
What\u2019s up with the Phillips Curve?
Marco Del Negro; Michele Lenza; Giorgio E. Primiceri; Andrea Tambalotti
发表日期2020-04-20
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要The business cycle is alive and well, and real variables respond to it more or less as they always did. Witness the Great Recession. Inflation, in contrast, has gone quiescent. This paper studies the sources of this disconnect using VARs and an estimated DSGE model. It finds that the disconnect is due primarily to the muted reaction of inflation to cost pressures, regardless of how they are measured—a flat aggregate supply curve. A shift in policy towards more forceful inflation stabilization also appears to have played some role by reducing the impact of demand shocks on the real economy. The evidence rules out stories centered around changes in the structure of the labor market or in how we should measure its tightness.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Monetary Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27003
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584675
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Marco Del Negro,Michele Lenza,Giorgio E. Primiceri,et al. What\u2019s up with the Phillips Curve?. 2020.
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