| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w27119 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 27119 |
| A Note on Long-Run Persistence of Public Health Outcomes in Pandemics | |
| Peter Zhixian Lin; Christopher M. Meissner | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-05-11 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Covid-19 is the single largest threat to global public health since the Spanish Influenza pandemic of 1918-20. Was the world better prepared in 2020 than it was in 1918? After a century of public health and basic science research, pandemic response and mortality outcomes should be better than in 1918-20. We ask whether mortality from historical pandemics has any predictive content for mortality in the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. We find a strong persistence in public health performance in the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic. Places that performed poorly in terms of mortality in 1918 were more likely to have higher mortality today. This is true across countries and across a sample of US cities. Experience with SARS is associated with lower mortality today. Distrust of expert advice, lack of cooperation at many levels, over-confidence, and health care supply shortages have likely promoted higher mortality today as in the past. |
| 主题 | Public Economics ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; History ; COVID-19 |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w27119 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584792 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Peter Zhixian Lin,Christopher M. Meissner. A Note on Long-Run Persistence of Public Health Outcomes in Pandemics. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w27119.pdf（665KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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