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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w27135
来源IDWorking Paper 27135
Expected Health Effects of Reduced Air Pollution from COVID-19 Social Distancing
Steve Cicala; Stephen P. Holland; Erin T. Mansur; Nicholas Z. Muller; Andrew J. Yates
发表日期2020-05-11
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in stay-at-home policies and other social distancing behaviors in the United States in spring of 2020. This paper examines the impact that these actions had on emissions and expected health effects through reduced personal vehicle travel and electricity consumption. Using daily cell phone mobility data for each U.S. county, we find that vehicle travel dropped about 40% by mid-April across the nation. States that imposed stay-at-home policies before March 28 decreased travel slightly more than other states, but travel in all states decreased significantly. Using data on hourly electricity consumption by electricity region (e.g., balancing authority), we find that electricity consumption fell about six percent on average by mid-April with substantial heterogeneity. Given these decreases in travel and electricity use, we estimate the county-level expected improvements in air quality, and therefore expected declines in mortality. Overall, we estimate that, for a month of social distancing, the expected premature deaths due to air pollution from personal vehicle travel and electricity consumption declined by approximately 360 deaths, or about 25% of the baseline 1500 deaths. In addition, we estimate that CO2 emissions from these sources fell by 46 million metric tons (a reduction of approximately 19%) over the same time frame.
主题Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy ; Environment ; COVID-19
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27135
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584808
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Steve Cicala,Stephen P. Holland,Erin T. Mansur,et al. Expected Health Effects of Reduced Air Pollution from COVID-19 Social Distancing. 2020.
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