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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w27153 |
来源ID | Working Paper 27153 |
Leader Value Added: Assessing the Growth Contribution of Individual National Leaders | |
William Easterly; Steven Pennings | |
发表日期 | 2020-05-18 |
出版年 | 2020 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Previous literature suggests that leaders matter for growth in general. This paper asks which leaders matter and develops a methodology to estimate the growth contribution of individual leaders and calculate its precision. The findings show that few leaders have statistically significant contributions; it is difficult to know who is good for growth and who is not. The paper also finds that the most intuitive estimate of a leader’s contribution—the average growth rate during tenure—is largely useless for measuring his or her true contribution. Consequently, many leaders with statistically significant growth effects are surprises. Moreover, leaders in non-democratic countries are no more likely to be statistically significant than leaders in democratic ones. |
主题 | History ; Macroeconomic History ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Growth and Productivity ; Country Studies |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w27153 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584826 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | William Easterly,Steven Pennings. Leader Value Added: Assessing the Growth Contribution of Individual National Leaders. 2020. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w27153.pdf(554KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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