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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w27153
来源IDWorking Paper 27153
Leader Value Added: Assessing the Growth Contribution of Individual National Leaders
William Easterly; Steven Pennings
发表日期2020-05-18
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要Previous literature suggests that leaders matter for growth in general. This paper asks which leaders matter and develops a methodology to estimate the growth contribution of individual leaders and calculate its precision. The findings show that few leaders have statistically significant contributions; it is difficult to know who is good for growth and who is not. The paper also finds that the most intuitive estimate of a leader’s contribution—the average growth rate during tenure—is largely useless for measuring his or her true contribution. Consequently, many leaders with statistically significant growth effects are surprises. Moreover, leaders in non-democratic countries are no more likely to be statistically significant than leaders in democratic ones.
主题History ; Macroeconomic History ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Growth and Productivity ; Country Studies
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27153
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584826
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GB/T 7714
William Easterly,Steven Pennings. Leader Value Added: Assessing the Growth Contribution of Individual National Leaders. 2020.
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