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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w27197
来源IDWorking Paper 27197
Correcting Estimates of Electric Vehicle Emissions Abatement: Implications for Climate Policy
Erich Muehlegger; David S. Rapson
发表日期2020-05-25
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要Transportation electrification is viewed by many as a cornerstone for climate change mitigation, with the ultimate vision to phase out conventional vehicles entirely. In a world with only electric vehicles (EVs), transportation pollution would be primarily determined by the electricity grid composition. For the foreseeable future, however, environmental benefits of EVs must be measured relative to the (likely gasoline) car that would have been bought instead. This so-called “counterfactual” vehicle cannot be observed, but its fuel economy can be estimated. A quasi-experiment in California allows us to show that subsidized buyers of EVs would have, on average, purchased relatively fuel-efficient cars had they not gone electric. The actual incremental pollution abatement arising from EVs today is thus substantially smaller than one would predict using the fleet average as the counterfactual vehicle. We discuss implications for climate policy and how to accurately reflect EV choice in integrated assessment models.
主题Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy ; Environment ; Regional and Urban Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27197
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584870
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Erich Muehlegger,David S. Rapson. Correcting Estimates of Electric Vehicle Emissions Abatement: Implications for Climate Policy. 2020.
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