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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w27207
来源IDWorking Paper 27207
Can the Covid Bailouts Save the Economy?
Vadim Elenev; Tim Landvoigt; Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
发表日期2020-05-25
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要The covid-19 crisis has led to a sharp deterioration in firm and bank balance sheets. The government has responded with a massive intervention in corporate credit markets. We study equilibrium dynamics of macroeconomic quantities and prices, and how they are affected by government policy. The interventions prevent a much deeper crisis by reducing corporate bankruptcies by about half and short-circuiting the doom loop between corporate and financial sector fragility. The additional fiscal cost is zero since program spending replaces what would otherwise have been spent on intermediary bailouts. The model predicts rising interest rates on government debt and slow debt pay-down. We analyze an alternative intervention that targets aid to firms at risk of bankruptcy. While this policy prevents more bankruptcies and has lower fiscal cost, it only enjoys marginally higher welfare. Finally, we study longer-run consequences for firm leverage and intermediary health when pandemics become the new normal.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; Fiscal Policy ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; COVID-19
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27207
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584880
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Vadim Elenev,Tim Landvoigt,Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh. Can the Covid Bailouts Save the Economy?. 2020.
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