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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w27271
来源IDWorking Paper 27271
Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception
Grant Miller; Áureo de Paula; Christine Valente
发表日期2020-06-01
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要Nearly one-quarter of married, fertile-age women in Sub-Saharan Africa say that they want to avoid pregnancy but are not using contraceptives. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first to study this puzzle in a developing country using detailed data on women’s subjective probabilistic beliefs about contraception and contraceptive attributes. Policy counterfactuals based on a structural model suggest that costly interventions such as eliminating supply constraints would only have modest effects on contraceptive use. Alternatively, increasing partners’ approval of methods, aligning partners’ fertility preferences with women’s, and correcting women’s expectations about pregnancy risk absent contraception have the potential to increase use considerably. We provide additional empirical support for this last result through a before/after experiment in which we find that simply (and effectively) informing women about underlying pregnancy risk increases stated intentions to use contraception substantially, in line with our initial estimates.
主题Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27271
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584942
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GB/T 7714
Grant Miller,Áureo de Paula,Christine Valente. Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception. 2020.
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