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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w27317
来源IDWorking Paper 27317
No Firm is an Island? How Industry Conditions Shape Firms' Aggregate Expectations
Philippe Andrade; Olivier Coibion; Erwan Gautier; Yuriy Gorodnichenko
发表日期2020-06-08
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要We study how firms’ expectations and actions are affected by both aggregate and industry-specific conditions using a survey of French manufacturing firms. We document two novel features. First, the adjustment of firms’ expectations is more rapid after industry-specific shocks than aggregate shocks. This is consistent with rational inattention models which predict that firms should pay more attention to industry variation than aggregate conditions. Second, in response to industry shocks that have no aggregate effects, firms’ aggregate expectations respond. This is consistent with “island” models in which firms use the specific prices they observe to make inferences about broader aggregate conditions. We also study how these results vary across industries.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27317
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/584988
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GB/T 7714
Philippe Andrade,Olivier Coibion,Erwan Gautier,et al. No Firm is an Island? How Industry Conditions Shape Firms' Aggregate Expectations. 2020.
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