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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w27370
来源IDWorking Paper 27370
Global Capital and Local Assets: House Prices, Quantities, and Elasticities
Caitlin S. Gorback; Benjamin J. Keys
发表日期2020-06-22
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要Interconnected capital markets allow mobile global capital to flow into immobile local assets. This paper examines how foreign demand affects U.S. housing markets, and uses this demand shock to estimate local price elasticities of supply. Other countries introduced foreign-buyer taxes meant to deter Chinese housing investment beginning in 2011. We first show house prices grew 8 percentage points more in U.S. zipcodes with high foreign-born Chinese populations after 2011, subsequently reversing with the onset of the U.S.–China trade war. Second, we use international tax policy changes as a U.S. housing demand shock and estimate local house price and quantity elasticities with respect to international capital. We find that a 1% increase in instrumented foreign capital raises house prices at the zip code level by 0.27%, and housing supply by 0.004%. Finally, we use the two elasticities to construct new local house price elasticities of supply for the largest 100 CBSAs. These supply elasticities average 0.1 and vary between 0.02 and 0.7, suggesting that local housing markets are inelastic in the short run and exhibit substantial spatial heterogeneity.
主题Other ; Law and Economics ; Regional and Urban Economics ; Real Estate
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27370
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585051
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Caitlin S. Gorback,Benjamin J. Keys. Global Capital and Local Assets: House Prices, Quantities, and Elasticities. 2020.
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