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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w27370 |
来源ID | Working Paper 27370 |
Global Capital and Local Assets: House Prices, Quantities, and Elasticities | |
Caitlin S. Gorback; Benjamin J. Keys | |
发表日期 | 2020-06-22 |
出版年 | 2020 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Interconnected capital markets allow mobile global capital to flow into immobile local assets. This paper examines how foreign demand affects U.S. housing markets, and uses this demand shock to estimate local price elasticities of supply. Other countries introduced foreign-buyer taxes meant to deter Chinese housing investment beginning in 2011. We first show house prices grew 8 percentage points more in U.S. zipcodes with high foreign-born Chinese populations after 2011, subsequently reversing with the onset of the U.S.–China trade war. Second, we use international tax policy changes as a U.S. housing demand shock and estimate local house price and quantity elasticities with respect to international capital. We find that a 1% increase in instrumented foreign capital raises house prices at the zip code level by 0.27%, and housing supply by 0.004%. Finally, we use the two elasticities to construct new local house price elasticities of supply for the largest 100 CBSAs. These supply elasticities average 0.1 and vary between 0.02 and 0.7, suggesting that local housing markets are inelastic in the short run and exhibit substantial spatial heterogeneity. |
主题 | Other ; Law and Economics ; Regional and Urban Economics ; Real Estate |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w27370 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585051 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Caitlin S. Gorback,Benjamin J. Keys. Global Capital and Local Assets: House Prices, Quantities, and Elasticities. 2020. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w27370.pdf(1404KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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