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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w27394
来源IDWorking Paper 27394
Measuring Labor-Force Participation and the Incidence and Duration of Unemployment
Hie Joo Ahn; James D. Hamilton
发表日期2020-06-22
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要The underlying data from which the U.S. unemployment rate, labor-force participation rate, and duration of unemployment are calculated contain numerous internal contradictions. This paper catalogs these inconsistencies and proposes a unified reconciliation. We find that the usual statistics understate the unemployment rate and the labor-force participation rate by about two percentage points on average and that the bias in the latter has increased over time. The BLS estimate of the average duration of unemployment substantially overstates the true duration of uninterrupted spells of unemployment and misrepresents what happened to average durations during the Great Recession and its recovery.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27394
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585067
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Hie Joo Ahn,James D. Hamilton. Measuring Labor-Force Participation and the Incidence and Duration of Unemployment. 2020.
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