| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w27408 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 27408 |
| Black Lives Matter Protests and Risk Avoidance: The Case of Civil Unrest During a Pandemic | |
| Dhaval M. Dave; Andrew I. Friedson; Kyutaro Matsuzawa; Joseph J. Sabia; Samuel Safford | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-06-22 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Sparked by the killing of George Floyd in police custody, the 2020 Black Lives Matter (BLM) protests brought a new wave of attention to the issue of inequality within criminal justice. However, some policymakers warned that such protests should be curtailed due to public health risks of infectious disease contagion. The current study finds that this epidemiological argument rests on an incorrect counterfactual that ignores economic incentives for risk-avoiding behaviors. We use newly collected data on BLM protests and anonymized cell phone data from SafeGraph, Inc. to estimate the impacts of BLM protests on (i) stay-at-home behavior, and (ii) foot-traffic to restaurants/bars, retail establishments, and business service locations. Event-study analyses provide strong evidence that net stay-at-home behavior increased following protest onset, consistent with the hypothesis that non-protesters shifted their activity in response to the perceived heightened risk of contagion and protest-related violence. Moreover, we find that the types of activities that were averted by BLM protests were potentially riskier for disease spread than outdoor civil rights protests: restaurant and bar-going and retail shopping. These risk-avoiding responses to protests, coupled with mask-wearing by protesters, explain why BLM protests did not reignite community-level COVID-19 growth. Together, our findings highlight the pitfalls of ignoring general equilibrium effects in assessing the net economic impacts of civil rights protests. |
| 主题 | Subnational Fiscal Issues ; COVID-19 |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w27408 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585081 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Dhaval M. Dave,Andrew I. Friedson,Kyutaro Matsuzawa,et al. Black Lives Matter Protests and Risk Avoidance: The Case of Civil Unrest During a Pandemic. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w27408.pdf（1592KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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