G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w27416
来源IDWorking Paper 27416
Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis
Zhiguo He; Stefan Nagel; Zhaogang Song
发表日期2020-06-22
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要In sharp contrast to most previous crisis episodes, the Treasury market experienced severe stress and illiquidity during the COVID-19 crisis, raising concerns that the safe-haven status of U.S. Treasuries may be eroding. We document large shifts in Treasury ownership and temporary accumulation of Treasury and reverse repo positions on dealer balance sheets during this period. We build a dynamic equilibrium asset pricing model in which dealers subject to regulatory balance sheet constraints intermediate demand/supply shocks from habitat agents and provide repo financing to levered investors. The model predicts that Treasury inconvenience yields, measured as the spread between Treasuries and overnight-index swap rates (OIS), as well as spreads between dealers’ reverse repo and repo rates, should be highly positive during the COVID-19 crisis, which are confirmed in the data. The same model framework, adapted to the institutional setting in 2007-2009, also helps explain the negative Treasury-OIS spread observed during the Great Recession.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions ; COVID-19
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27416
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585089
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Zhiguo He,Stefan Nagel,Zhaogang Song. Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis. 2020.
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