| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w27423 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 27423 |
| The Changing Risk and Burden of Wildfire in the US | |
| Marshall Burke; Anne Driscoll; Jenny Xue; Sam Heft-Neal; Jennifer Burney; Michael Wara | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-06-29 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Recent dramatic and deadly increases in global wildfire activity have increased attention on the causes of wildfires, their consequences, and how risk from fire might be mitigated. Here we bring together data on the changing risk and societal burden of wildfire in the US. We estimate that nearly 50 million homes are currently in the wildland-urban interface in the US, a number increasing by 1 million houses every 3 years. Using a statistical model that links satellite-based fire and smoke data to pollution monitoring stations, we estimate that wildfires have accounted for up to 25% of PM₂․₅ in recent years across the US, and up to half in some Western regions. We then show that ambient exposure to smoke-based PM₂․₅ does not follow traditional socioeconomic exposure gradients. Finally, using stylized scenarios, we show that fuels management interventions have large but uncertain impacts on health outcomes, and that future health impacts from climate-change-induced wildfire smoke could approach projected overall increases in temperature-related mortality from climate change. We draw lessons for research and policy. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w27423 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585096 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Marshall Burke,Anne Driscoll,Jenny Xue,et al. The Changing Risk and Burden of Wildfire in the US. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w27423.pdf（5774KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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