| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w27488 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 27488 |
| The Macroeconomic Impact of Europe\u2019s Carbon Taxes | |
| Gilbert E. Metcalf; James H. Stock | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-07-06 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Policy makers often express concern about the impact of carbon taxes on employment and GDP. Focusing on European countries that have implemented carbon taxes over the past 30 years, we estimate the macroeconomic impacts of these taxes on GDP and employment growth rates for various specifications and samples. Our point estimates suggest a zero to modest positive impact on GDP and total employment growth rates. More importantly, we find no robust evidence of a negative effect of the tax on employment or GDP growth. We examine evidence on whether the positive effects might stem from countries that used the carbon tax revenues to reduce other taxes; while the evidence is consistent with this view, it is inconclusive. We also consider the impact of the taxes on emission reductions and find a cumulative reduction on the order of 4 to 6 percent for a $40/ton CO2 tax covering 30% of emissions. We argue that reductions would likely be greater for a broad-based U.S. carbon tax since European carbon taxes do not include in the tax base those sectors with the lowest marginal costs of carbon pollution abatement. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy ; Public Economics ; Taxation ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy ; Environment |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w27488 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585160 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gilbert E. Metcalf,James H. Stock. The Macroeconomic Impact of Europe\u2019s Carbon Taxes. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w27488.pdf（1748KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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