| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w27524 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 27524 |
| High School Majors, Comparative (Dis)Advantage, and Future Earnings | |
| Gordon Dahl; Dan-Olof Rooth; Anders Stenberg | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-07-13 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper studies whether specialized academic fields of study in secondary school (i.e., high school majors), which are common in many countries, affect earnings as an adult. Identification is challenging, because it requires not just quasi-random variation into majors, but also an accounting of individuals’ next-best alternatives. Our setting is Sweden, where at the end of ninth grade students rank fields of study and admission to oversubscribed fields is determined based on a student’s GPA. We use a regression discontinuity design which allows for different labor market returns for each combination of preferred versus next-best choice, together with nationwide register data for school cohorts from 1977-1991 linked to their earnings as adults. Our analysis yields several key results. First, Engineering, Natural Science, and Business yield higher earnings relative to most second-best choices, while Social Science and Humanities result in sizable drops, even relative to non-academic vocational programs. The magnitudes are often as large as the return to two years of additional education. Second, the return to completing a major varies substantially as a function of a student’s next-best alternative. Third, the pattern of returns for individuals with different first and second best choices is consistent with comparative advantage for many field choice combinations, while others exhibit comparative disadvantage or random sorting. Fourth, most of the differences in adult earnings can be attributed to differences in occupation, and to a lesser extent, college major. Taken together, these results highlight that the high school majors students choose at age 16, when they have limited information about their skills and the labor market, have sizable effects which persist into adulthood. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Education ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand ; Labor Compensation |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w27524 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585197 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gordon Dahl,Dan-Olof Rooth,Anders Stenberg. High School Majors, Comparative (Dis)Advantage, and Future Earnings. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w27524.pdf（757KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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