| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w27599 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 27599 |
| Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits | |
| Tamma A. Carleton; Amir Jina; Michael T. Delgado; Michael Greenstone; Trevor Houser; Solomon M. Hsiang; Andrew Hultgren; Robert E. Kopp; Kelly E. McCusker; Ishan B. Nath; James Rising; Ashwin Rode; Hee Kwon Seo; Arvid Viaene; Jiacan Yuan; Alice Tianbo Zhang | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-08-03 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Using 40 countries’ subnational data, we estimate age-specific mortality-temperature relationships and extrapolate them to countries without data today and into a future with climate change. We uncover a U-shaped relationship where extreme cold and hot temperatures increase mortality rates, especially for the elderly. Critically, this relationship is flattened by both higher incomes and adaptation to local climate. Using a revealed preference approach to recover unobserved adaptation costs, we estimate that the mean global increase in mortality risk due to climate change, accounting for adaptation benefits and costs, is valued at roughly 3.2% of global GDP in 2100 under a high emissions scenario. Notably, today’s cold locations are projected to benefit, while today’s poor and hot locations have large projected damages. Finally, our central estimates indicate that the release of an additional ton of CO2 today will cause mortality-related damages of $36.6 under a high emissions scenario, with an interquartile range accounting for both econometric and climate uncertainty of [-$7.8, $73.0]. These empirically grounded estimates exceed the previous literature’s estimates by an order of magnitude. |
| 主题 | Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment ; Public Economics ; Taxation ; Public Goods ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w27599 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585271 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tamma A. Carleton,Amir Jina,Michael T. Delgado,et al. Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w27599.pdf（2172KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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