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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w27684
来源IDWorking Paper 27684
Generalizable and Robust TV Advertising Effects
Bradley Shapiro; Günter J. Hitsch; Anna Tuchman
发表日期2020-08-17
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要We provide generalizable and robust results on the causal sales effect of TV advertising for a large number of products in many categories. Such generalizable results provide a prior distribution that can improve the advertising decisions made by firms and the analysis and recommendations of policy makers. To provide generalizable results, we base our analysis on a large number of products and clearly lay out the research protocol used to select the products. We characterize the distribution of all estimates, irrespective of sign, size, or statistical significance. To ensure generalizability, we document the robustness of the estimates. First, we examine the sensitivity of the results to the assumptions made when constructing the data used in estimation. Second, we document whether the estimated effects are sensitive to the identification strategies that we use to claim causality based on observational data. Our results reveal substantially smaller advertising elasticities compared to the results documented in the extant literature, as well as a sizable percentage of statistically insignificant or negative estimates. Finally, we conduct an analysis of return on investment (ROI). While our results show that many brands perform better with their observed advertising than they would without advertising, we document considerable over-investment in advertising at the margin.
主题Other ; History of Economic Thought ; Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Data Collection ; Industrial Organization ; Market Structure and Firm Performance ; Industry Studies ; Accounting, Marketing, and Personnel
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27684
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585356
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GB/T 7714
Bradley Shapiro,Günter J. Hitsch,Anna Tuchman. Generalizable and Robust TV Advertising Effects. 2020.
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