| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w27696 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 27696 |
| Decoding India's Low Covid-19 Case Fatality rate | |
| Minu Philip; Debraj Ray; S. Subramanian | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-08-17 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | India’s case fatality rate (CFR) under covid-19 is strikingly low, trending from 3% or more, to a current level of around 2.2%. The world average rate is far higher, at around 4%. Several observers have noted that this difference is at least partly due to India’s younger age distribution. In this paper, we use age-specific fatality rates from 14 comparison countries, coupled with India’s distribution of covid-19 cases to “predict" what India’s CFR would be with those age-specific rates. In most cases, those predictions are lower than India’s actual performance, suggesting that India’s CFR is, if anything, too high rather than too low. We supplement the prediction exercises with the application of a decomposition technique, and we additionally account for time lags between case incidence and death, for a more relevant cross-country perspective in the growth phase of the pandemic. |
| 主题 | Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Country Studies ; COVID-19 |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w27696 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585368 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Minu Philip,Debraj Ray,S. Subramanian. Decoding India's Low Covid-19 Case Fatality rate. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w27696.pdf（412KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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