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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w27696
来源IDWorking Paper 27696
Decoding India's Low Covid-19 Case Fatality rate
Minu Philip; Debraj Ray; S. Subramanian
发表日期2020-08-17
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要India’s case fatality rate (CFR) under covid-19 is strikingly low, trending from 3% or more, to a current level of around 2.2%. The world average rate is far higher, at around 4%. Several observers have noted that this difference is at least partly due to India’s younger age distribution. In this paper, we use age-specific fatality rates from 14 comparison countries, coupled with India’s distribution of covid-19 cases to “predict" what India’s CFR would be with those age-specific rates. In most cases, those predictions are lower than India’s actual performance, suggesting that India’s CFR is, if anything, too high rather than too low. We supplement the prediction exercises with the application of a decomposition technique, and we additionally account for time lags between case incidence and death, for a more relevant cross-country perspective in the growth phase of the pandemic.
主题Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Country Studies ; COVID-19
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w27696
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585368
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Minu Philip,Debraj Ray,S. Subramanian. Decoding India's Low Covid-19 Case Fatality rate. 2020.
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