Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w27767 |
来源ID | Working Paper 27767 |
To Stay or to Migrate? When Becker Meets Harris-Todaro | |
Pei-Ju Liao; Ping Wang; Yin-Chi Wang; Chong Kee Yip | |
发表日期 | 2020-09-07 |
出版年 | 2020 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Allowing migration activity as an integral part of demographic transition and economic development, we establish a locational quantity-quality trade-off of children and explore its macroeconomic consequences. We construct a dynamic competitive migration equilibrium framework with rural agents heterogeneous in skills and fertility preferences. We then establish and characterize a mixed migration equilibrium where high-skilled rural agents with low fertility preferences always migrate to cities, low-skilled with high fertility preferences always stay, and only an endogenously determined fraction of high-skilled/high fertility preferences or low-skilled/low fertility preferences ends up moving. By calibrating our model to fit the data from China, we find interesting interactions between fertility and migration decisions in various counterfactual experiments with respect to changes in migration, population control and rural land entitlement policies. We conclude that overlooking the locational quantity-quality trade-off of children may lead to nonnegligible biases in assessing the implications and effectiveness of government policies. |
主题 | Development and Growth ; Development ; Country Studies ; Regional and Urban Economics |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w27767 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585439 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pei-Ju Liao,Ping Wang,Yin-Chi Wang,et al. To Stay or to Migrate? When Becker Meets Harris-Todaro. 2020. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w27767.pdf(847KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。