全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Disease, Downturns, and Wellbeing: Economic History and the Long-Run Impacts of COVID-19

G2TT

来源类型	Working Paper
规范类型	报告
DOI	10.3386/w27805
来源ID	Working Paper 27805
	Disease, Downturns, and Wellbeing: Economic History and the Long-Run Impacts of COVID-19
	Vellore Arthi; John Parman
发表日期	2020-09-14
出版年	2020
语种	英语
摘要	How might COVID-19 affect human capital and wellbeing in the long run? The COVID-19 pandemic has already imposed a heavy human cost—taken together, this public health crisis and its attendant economic downturn appear poised to dwarf the scope, scale, and disruptiveness of most modern pandemics. What evidence we do have about other modern pandemics is largely limited to short-run impacts. Consequently, recent experience can do little to help us anticipate and respond to COVID-19’s potential long-run impact on individuals over decades and even generations. History, however, offers a solution. Historical crises offer closer analogues to COVID-19 in each of its key dimensions—as a global pandemic, as a global recession—and offer the runway necessary to study the life-course and intergenerational outcomes. In this paper, we review the evidence on the long-run effects on health, labor, and human capital of both historical pandemics (with a focus on the 1918 Influenza Pandemic) and historical recessions (with a focus on the Great Depression). We conclude by discussing how past crises can inform our approach to COVID-19—helping tell us what to look for, what to prepare for, and what data we ought to collect now.
主题	Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Poverty and Wellbeing ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Unemployment and Immigration ; History ; Macroeconomic History ; Labor and Health History ; COVID-19
URL	https://www.nber.org/papers/w27805
来源智库	National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585477
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Vellore Arthi,John Parman. Disease, Downturns, and Wellbeing: Economic History and the Long-Run Impacts of COVID-19. 2020.

条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小	资源类型	版本类型	开放类型	使用许可
w27805.pdf（689KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览