Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w27956 |
来源ID | Working Paper 27956 |
(S)Cars and the Great Recession | |
Orazio Attanasio; Kieran P. Larkin; Morten O. Ravn; Mario Padula | |
发表日期 | 2020-10-19 |
出版年 | 2020 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | US households’ consumption and car purchases collapsed during the Great Recession, for reasons that are still poorly understood. In this paper we use the Consumer Expenditure Survey to derive cohort and business cycle decompositions of consumption profiles. When decomposing the car expenditure data into its extensive and intensive margins, we find that the intensive margin contracted sharply in the Great Recession, a finding in stark contrast to conventional wisdom and to the experience of prior recessions. We interpret the evidence through the prism of a very rich life-cycle model where individuals are subject to idiosyncratic uninsurable income shocks, aggregate income shocks, wealth shocks, and credit shocks. We show that, because of their salience and the transaction costs, cars are particularly sensitive to changes in the perception of fu- ture expected income and its variability. We find that on top of a large aggregate income shock, life-cycle income profile shocks and wealth shocks are important determinants of consumption choices during the Great Recession. |
主题 | Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w27956 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585630 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Orazio Attanasio,Kieran P. Larkin,Morten O. Ravn,et al. (S)Cars and the Great Recession. 2020. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w27956.pdf(935KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。