| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w27999 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 27999 |
| The Long-Run Effects of the Affordable Care Act: A Pre-Committed Research Design Over the COVID-19 Recession and Recovery | |
| Jeffrey Clemens; Drew McNichols; Joseph J. Sabia | |
| 发表日期 | 2020-10-26 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The long-run costs and benefits of social insurance expansions may not be realized until a program has been in place through a cycle of boom, bust, and recovery. In the case of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), the arrival of the program's inaugural bust and recovery have been hastened by the COVID-19 pandemic. In this context, our analysis begins by developing two facts. First, during the pre-pandemic boom, we show that the ACA's effects had largely stabilized by 2016. Second, we develop a new fact involving variations in the ACA's effects across industries. Specifically, we show that the ACA’s effects differed dramatically across industries with lower versus higher levels of pre-ACA insurance coverage, and that this difference cannot be explained by differences in workers’ incomes or other observable characteristics, nor by geographic differences in pre-ACA uninsured rates. Finally, we set the stage for pre-committed analyses of the ACA's effects over the remainder of the current cycle of boom, bust, and recovery. In so doing, we seek to advance the use of pre-committed research designs in observational settings. |
| 主题 | Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; COVID-19 |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w27999 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585672 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jeffrey Clemens,Drew McNichols,Joseph J. Sabia. The Long-Run Effects of the Affordable Care Act: A Pre-Committed Research Design Over the COVID-19 Recession and Recovery. 2020. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w27999.pdf（1425KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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