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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w28001 |
来源ID | Working Paper 28001 |
Searching for the Equity Premium | |
Hang Bai; Lu Zhang | |
发表日期 | 2020-10-26 |
出版年 | 2020 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Labor market frictions are crucial for the equity premium in production economies. A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with recursive utility, search frictions, and capital accumulation yields a high equity premium of 4.26% per annum, a stock market volatility of 11.8%, and a low average interest rate of 1.59%, while simultaneously retaining plausible business cycle dynamics. The equity premium and stock market volatility are strongly countercyclical, while the interest rate and consumption growth are largely unpredictable. Because of wage inertia, dividends are procyclical despite consumption smoothing via capital investment. The welfare cost of business cycles is huge, 29%. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28001 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585674 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hang Bai,Lu Zhang. Searching for the Equity Premium. 2020. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w28001.pdf(544KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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