G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w28031
来源IDWorking Paper 28031
Economic Benefits of COVID-19 Screening Tests
Andrew Atkeson; Michael C. Droste; Michael Mina; James H. Stock
发表日期2020-11-02
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要We assess the economic value of screening testing programs as a policy response to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. We find that the fiscal, macroeconomic, and health benefits of rapid SARS-CoV-2 screening testing programs far exceed their costs, with the ratio of economic benefits to costs typically in the range of 4-15 (depending on program details), not counting the monetized value of lives saved. Unless the screening test is highly specific, however, the signal value of the screening test alone is low, leading to concerns about adherence. Confirmatory testing increases the net economic benefits of screening tests by reducing the number of healthy workers in quarantine and by increasing adherence to quarantine measures. The analysis is undertaken using a behavioral SIR model for the United States with 5 age groups, 66 economic sectors, screening and diagnostic testing, and partial adherence to instructions to quarantine or to isolate.
主题Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; COVID-19
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28031
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585704
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GB/T 7714
Andrew Atkeson,Michael C. Droste,Michael Mina,et al. Economic Benefits of COVID-19 Screening Tests. 2020.
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