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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w28043 |
来源ID | Working Paper 28043 |
Making Rallies Great Again: The Effects of Presidential Campaign Rallies on Voter Behavior, 2008-2016 | |
James M. Snyder Jr.; Hasin Yousaf | |
发表日期 | 2020-11-02 |
出版年 | 2020 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Populism has surged around the world in recent decades. One campaign activity that may be especially important for populist leaders is holding large rallies to gain unmediated support from "the people." In this paper, we explore whether populist leaders are particularly effective in gaining support via their rallies. We do this by studying the effect of campaign rallies held by Donald Trump and other U.S. Presidential candidates since 2008. To measure the short-run causal impact of rallies, we exploit the fact that some respondents in the CCES were surveyed a few days before a rally, while others were surveyed a few days afterwards. We find that Trump's rallies produced a short-lived increase in his support over Clinton (especially among leaning Republicans), intention to vote (especially among strong Republicans), and individual campaign contributions for him. We do not find consistent, robust effects for other candidates. In terms of channels, we find that local media coverage of all candidates increased around their rallies, suggesting that the quantity of media coverage alone does not explain the findings. |
主题 | Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28043 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585716 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | James M. Snyder Jr.,Hasin Yousaf. Making Rallies Great Again: The Effects of Presidential Campaign Rallies on Voter Behavior, 2008-2016. 2020. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w28043.pdf(526KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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