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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w28111
来源IDWorking Paper 28111
The Inexorable Recoveries of Unemployment
Robert E. Hall; Marianna Kudlyak
发表日期2020-11-23
出版年2020
语种英语
摘要Unemployment recoveries in the US have been inexorable. Between 1948 and 2019, the annual reduction in the unemployment rate during cyclical recoveries was fairly tightly distributed around 0.1 log points per year. The economy seems to have an irresistible force toward restoring full employment. In the aftermath of a recession, unless another crisis intervenes, unemployment continues to glide down. Occasionally, unemployment rises rapidly during an economic crisis, while most of the time, unemployment declines slowly and smoothly at a near-constant proportional rate. We show that similar properties hold for other measures of the US unemployment rate and for the unemployment rates of many other emerging and advanced countries.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28111
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585785
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GB/T 7714
Robert E. Hall,Marianna Kudlyak. The Inexorable Recoveries of Unemployment. 2020.
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