G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w28303
来源IDWorking Paper 28303
Deaths of Despair and the Incidence of Excess Mortality in 2020
Casey B. Mulligan
发表日期2021-01-04
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要Weekly mortality through October 3 is partitioned into normal deaths, COVID, and nonCOVID excess deaths (NCEDs). Before March, the excess is negative for the elderly, likely due to the mild flu season. From March onward, excess deaths are approximately 250,000 of which about 17,000 appear to be a COVID undercount and 30,000 non-COVID. Deaths of despair (drug overdose, suicide, alcohol) in 2017 and 2018 are good predictors of the demographic groups with NCEDs in 2020. The NCEDs are disproportionately experienced by men aged 15-55, including men aged 15-25. Local data on opioid overdoses further support the hypothesis that the pandemic and recession were associated with a 10 to 60 percent increase in deaths of despair above already high pre-pandemic levels.
主题Public Economics ; Taxation ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Industrial Organization ; Regulatory Economics ; COVID-19
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28303
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585976
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GB/T 7714
Casey B. Mulligan. Deaths of Despair and the Incidence of Excess Mortality in 2020. 2021.
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