| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w28304 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 28304 |
| The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates | |
| Francesco Bianchi; Giada Bianchi; Dongho Song | |
| 发表日期 | 2021-01-04 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We adopt a time series approach to investigate the historical relation between unemployment, life expectancy, and mortality rates. We fit Vector-autoregressions for the overall US population and for groups identified based on gender and race. We use our results to assess the long-run effects of the COVID-19 economic recession on mortality and life expectancy. We estimate the size of the COVID-19-related unemployment shock to be between 2 and 5 times larger than the typical unemployment shock, depending on race and gender, resulting in a significant increase in mortality rates and drop in life expectancy. We also predict that the shock will disproportionately affect African-Americans and women, over a short horizon, while the effects for white men will unfold over longer horizons. These figures translate in more than 0.8 million additional deaths over the next 15 years. |
| 主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; COVID-19 |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28304 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585977 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Francesco Bianchi,Giada Bianchi,Dongho Song. The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates. 2021. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w28304.pdf（1649KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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