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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w28320
来源IDWorking Paper 28320
Stock Prices and Economic Activity in the Time of Coronavirus
Steven J. Davis; Dingqian Liu; Xuguang Simon Sheng
发表日期2021-01-11
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要Stock prices and workplace mobility trace out striking clockwise paths in daily data from mid-February to late May 2020. Global stock prices fell 30 percent from 17 February to 12 March, before mobility declined. Over the next 11 days, stocks fell another 10 percentage points as mobility dropped 40 percent. From 23 March to 9 April, stocks recovered half their losses and mobility fell further. From 9 April to late May, both stocks and mobility rose modestly. This dynamic plays out across the 35 countries in our sample, with notable departures in China, South Korea, and Taiwan. The size of the global stock market crash in reaction to the pandemic is many times larger than a standard asset-pricing model implies. Looking more closely at the world’s two largest economies, the pandemic had greater effects on stock market levels and volatilities in the U.S. than in China even before it became evident that early U.S. containment efforts would flounder. Newspaper-based narrative evidence confirms the dominant – and historically unprecedented – role of pandemic-related developments in the stock market behavior of both countries.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; Fiscal Policy ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; COVID-19
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28320
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/585993
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Steven J. Davis,Dingqian Liu,Xuguang Simon Sheng. Stock Prices and Economic Activity in the Time of Coronavirus. 2021.
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