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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w28359
来源IDWorking Paper 28359
Populism, Protectionism, and Political Instability
Tyler Daun; Sebastian Galiani; Gustavo Torrens
发表日期2021-01-25
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要Most populist regimes in Latin American countries used trade policy to redistribute income, despite being less efficient than other redistribution schemes such as transfers financed with an income tax. Often, this outcome is attributed to the lack of fiscal capacity in Latin American countries. Instead, we develop a simple political economy game where the populist government may use trade policy to encourage capitalists to invest in the more labor-intensive industry. Since moving capital is costly, those capitalists will support the continuation of the protectionist trade policy even after the populist government falls from power. The populist government may therefore choose to implement the less efficient but politically-sustainable policy instead of the more efficient policy that will be easily overturned after a regime change. Building fiscal capacity does not change the equilibrium. Only a long run commitment to a minimum level of redistribution restores efficiency.
主题International Economics ; Trade
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28359
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586033
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GB/T 7714
Tyler Daun,Sebastian Galiani,Gustavo Torrens. Populism, Protectionism, and Political Instability. 2021.
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