| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w28519 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 28519 |
| The Trade-off Between Prioritization and Vaccination Speed Depends on Mitigation Measures | |
| Nikhil Agarwal; Andrew Komo; Chetan A. Patel; Parag A. Pathak; M. Utku Ünver | |
| 发表日期 | 2021-03-08 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Calls for eliminating prioritization for SARS-CoV-2 vaccines are growing amid concerns that prioritization reduces vaccination speed. We use an SEIR model to study the effects of vaccination distribution on public health, comparing prioritization policy and speed under mitigation measures that are either eased during the vaccine rollout or sustained through the end of the pandemic period. NASEM's recommended prioritization results in fewer deaths than no prioritization, but does not minimize total deaths. If mitigation measures are eased, abandoning NASEM will result in about 134,000 more deaths at 30 million vaccinations per month. Vaccination speed must be at least 53% higher under no prioritization to avoid increasing deaths. With sustained mitigation, discarding NASEM prioritization will result in 42,000 more deaths, requiring only a 26% increase in speed to hold deaths constant. Therefore, abandoning NASEM's prioritization to increase vaccination speed without substantially increasing deaths may require sustained mitigation. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; COVID-19 |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28519 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586192 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Nikhil Agarwal,Andrew Komo,Chetan A. Patel,et al. The Trade-off Between Prioritization and Vaccination Speed Depends on Mitigation Measures. 2021. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w28519.pdf（855KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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