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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w28562 |
来源ID | Working Paper 28562 |
Uncertainty and Risk-Taking in Science: Meaning, Measurement and Management in Peer Review of Research Proposals | |
Chiara Franzoni; Paula Stephan | |
发表日期 | 2021-03-15 |
出版年 | 2021 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Concern that the selection of research projects by peer review disfavors risky science has called attention to ways to incorporate risk into the evaluation of research proposals. This discussion often occurs in the absence of well-defined and developed concepts of what risk and uncertainty mean in science. This paper sets out to address this void with the goal of providing building blocks to further the discussion of the meaning of risk and uncertainty in science. The core contributions of the paper are fourfold. First, we outline the meaning of risk in science, drawing on insights from literatures on risk and uncertainty. Second, based on this outline, we discuss possible ways in which programs can embrace a more comprehensive concept of risk and embed it in peer review of proposals, with the goal of not penalizing risky research proposals with the potential of high return when funding decisions are made. Third, we make an important distinction between research projects involving high-risk and research projects whose evaluation is subjected to ambiguity/radical uncertainty. Fourth, we discuss possible ways of addressing ambiguity/radical uncertainty by funding agencies. |
主题 | Public Economics ; Public Goods ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Education ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Innovation and R& ; D |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28562 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586234 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chiara Franzoni,Paula Stephan. Uncertainty and Risk-Taking in Science: Meaning, Measurement and Management in Peer Review of Research Proposals. 2021. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w28562.pdf(257KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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