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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w28592
来源IDWorking Paper 28592
The Voice of Monetary Policy
Yuriy Gorodnichenko; Tho Pham; Oleksandr Talavera
发表日期2021-03-22
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要We develop a deep learning model to detect emotions embedded in press conferences after the meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee and examine the influence of the detected emotions on financial markets. We find that, after controlling for the Fed’s actions and the sentiment in policy texts, positive tone in the voices of Fed Chairs leads to statistically significant and economically large increases in share prices. In other words, how policy messages are communicated can move the stock market. In contrast, the bond market appears to take few vocal cues from the Chairs. Our results provide implications for improving the effectiveness of central bank communications.
主题Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Monetary Policy ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28592
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586266
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GB/T 7714
Yuriy Gorodnichenko,Tho Pham,Oleksandr Talavera. The Voice of Monetary Policy. 2021.
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